Thursday, June 22, 2006
Bush vs Nature
If you haven't seen Al Gore's new film, "An Inconvenient Truth," please do. It is surprisingly engrossing (and entertaining despite it's heavy message). Recently there have been a number of reports supporting Gore's contention that Global Warming is both a serious problem and a result of human activity. Today another report attempts to highlight the importance of human activity in creating climate problems:
Now, in the second major global warming study released today, the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) has found:Lest we forget, Bush's official position is that we need to study this some more. Present understaning isn't really "sound science." of course, Dubyah wouldn't know "sound science" if it bit him in the ass - as it seems likely to do (and to all of us).
Global warming accounted for around half of the extra hurricane-fueling warmth in the waters of the tropical North Atlantic in 2005, while natural cycles were only a minor factor.
… The study contradicts recent claims that natural cycles are responsible for the upturn in Atlantic hurricane activity since 1995. It also adds support to the premise that hurricane seasons will become more active as global temperatures rise.
Some background: Last year, sea-surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic “were a record 1.7° F above the 1901-1970 average.”
Previous studies had suggested that the more intense hurricane activity was largely due to a 60-to-80-year natural cycle in sea-surface temperatures. But according to the study released today, less than .2° F of the rise was due to this natural cycle. Global warming, on the other hand, caused roughly half (about 0.8° F) of the rise, more than any other factor.